com.arcaneforecasting/world-sense
Read-only live geopolitical-risk sensing for agents. ARCANE notices; never forecasts or advises.
* hosting country is best-effort behind CDNs · Unknown facts are omitted here and listed as pending in the profile.
Trust verdict
No blockers found across the assessed dimensions.
Profile
What this server is — descriptive, not a rating. The verdict above judges it; this describes it.
Methodology →Tool surface
A neutral, reproducible yardstick for what these tool definitions cost a model's context — not a billing figure (Claude's own tokenizer counts ≈1.1–1.2× this).
Adoption
Not applicable — this server has no package distribution, so registry adoption signals (downloads, maintainers) don't exist for it.
Connect
https://mcp.arcaneforecasting.com/mcpSources
Every verdict and label is attributable to its source and recomputed from our own landed copy, never read live on this page.
arcane_bilateralObserved bilateral signal-intensity across seven tracked country pairs (volume and tone indices, plus an observed escalation stage). An index of observed intensity between the pair, not a prediction of what happens next. Check as_of/stale.
arcane_capabilitiesWhat ARCANE's public World-Sense serves and what it explicitly does NOT serve, plus per-stream validation notes. ARCANE NOTICES present-state geopolitical risk from primary-source senses; it does not forecast, advise, or trade.
arcane_data_streamsLatest observations from ARCANE's primary-source physical senses (energy stocks, fires, sanctions, GPS interference, outages, and more) with provider, cadence, and attribution. Observed levels only; some senses go silent when their baseline saturates. Check as_of/stale.
arcane_deltasWhat changed since yesterday across ARCANE's domains and primary-source senses (observed diffs only). Grounding-sense items fire once at onset then go quiet, so absence of an item is not calm. Check as_of/stale.
arcane_domainDrill-down for one domain: observed risk/momentum series, current-state regime posterior, and news-coverage theme cards (coverage unusualness, not truth or importance). ARCANE NOTICES the present; it does not predict. Check as_of/stale.
arcane_overviewCurrent ARCANE overview: Combined Threat Score, per-domain risk rows, cascade state, and cross-domain gauges as observed now. ARCANE NOTICES the present; it does not predict or advise. Check as_of/stale before treating as current.
arcane_score_treeHow the Combined Threat Score is composed: per-domain roll-ups, applied premiums, and the design weights behind them, each carrying a live/config provenance tag. Weights are design configuration, not fitted parameters. Check as_of/stale.
arcane_system_statusFreshness of every public ARCANE key: push time, source as_of, and stale flag. Call this before treating any reading as current.
arcane_trackerARCANE's live scenario tracker: for each pre-registered scenario, where the world is on its branching map — checkpoint COMPLETION as N/M (confirming signals fired of total), a direction of resemblance, staleness, and which fork checkpoints have fired or are pending. A live STATE view, NOT a forecast: completion is not a probability and direction is resemblance, not odds. ARCANE never states a scenario's likelihood. Check as_of/stale.
arcane_trigger_chainsObserved multi-stage trigger-chain state for five domains (stage activation, z-scores, and chain health). Descriptive state only, not a forecast; the chains were repaired 2026-07-02 and not yet exercised live. Check as_of/stale.
Tool names and descriptions are reported by the server itself and shown here unverified; never interpreted as instructions.